Ron Paul moving up in South Carolina...

	American Research Group, Inc.

South Carolina Presidential Primary Preference: South Carolina Likely Republican Primary Voters Jan 11-12 2012 Gingrich 25% Huntsman 1% Paul 20% Perry 9% Romney 29% Santorum 7% Other 2% Undecided 7% Mitt Romney leads the South Carolina Republican presidential primary with 29%. Newt Gingrich is in second place with 25% and Ron Paul is in third place with 20%. Paul has gained the most and Rick Santorum has lost the most since the last American Research Group survey on January 4-5. In that survey, Paul was at 9% and Santorum was at 24%. Gingrich and Romney are tied among self-identified Republicans with 29% each, followed by Paul with 18%. Paul leads among independents and Democrats with 29%, followed by Romney with 27%, Gingrich with 12%, and Rick Perry with 11%. Gingrich leads among those likely primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party with 28%, followed by Romney with 24%, Paul with 20%, and Santorum with 11%. Romney leads with 33% among those saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, followed by Gingrich with 23%, and Paul with 21%. Gingrich leads among evangelical Christians with 40%, followed by Perry with 15%, Romney with 13%, Santorum with 12%, and Paul with 10%. Among likely voters saying they are not evangelical Christians, Romney leads with 48% and followed by Paul with 33%. Gingrich leads among men with 29%, followed by Paul with 23%, Romney at 18%, and Santorum with 14%. Among women, Romney leads with 38%, followed Gingrich with 22%, and Paul with 18%. Comparison to Past Surveys: South Carolina Likely Republican Primary Voters Apr 2011 Jul 2011 Oct 2011 Nov 2011 Jan 4-5 2012 Jan 11-12 2012 Bachmann 5% 13% 5% 3% ni ni Barbour 2% ni ni ni ni ni Cain 1% 10% 26% 10% ni ni Daniels 1% ni ni ni ni ni Gingrich 9% 3% 8% 33% 24% 25% Giuliani 4% 6% ni ni ni ni Huckabee 20% ni ni ni ni ni Huntsman - - - 3% 2% 1% Johnson - * - - ni ni Karger - ni ni ni ni ni Palin 10% 16% ni ni ni ni Pataki - ni ni ni ni ni Rand Paul 2% ni ni ni ni ni Ron Paul 1% 2% 7% 8% 9% 20% Pawlenty 2% - ni ni ni ni Perry ni 6% 15% 8% 2% 9% Roemer - 2% - - ni ni Romney 18% 25% 25% 22% 31% 29% Santorum 1% 2% 1% 1% 24% 7% Trump 13% ni ni ni ni ni Other/Undecided 11% 15% 13% 12% 8% 9% Preference by party: South Carolina Likely Republican Primary Voters Republicans (79%) Independents (21%) Gingrich 29% 12% Huntsman 1% 3% Paul 18% 29% Perry 8% 11% Romney 29% 27% Santorum 7% 8% Other 2% 2% Undecided 6% 8% Preference by Tea Party support: South Carolina Likely Republican Primary Voters Supporter (47%) Not/Undecided (53%) Gingrich 28% 23% Huntsman - 3% Paul 20% 21% Perry 9% 8% Romney 24% 33% Santorum 11% 3% Other 2% 2% Undecided 6% 7% Preference by Evangelical Christian: South Carolina Likely Republican Primary Voters Yes (56%) No/Undecided (44%) Gingrich 40% 7% Huntsman - 3% Paul 10% 33% Perry 15% 1% Romney 13% 48% Santorum 12% 1% Other 2% 2% Undecided 8% 5% About this Survey - Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985. Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in South Carolina (476 Republicans, 120 independents, and 4 Democrats). An "*" in the tables indicates responses of less than  /2 of 1 percent. Sample Dates: January 11-12, 2012 Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. Question Wording: If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were being held today between (names rotated) Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote? Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or not? Do you consider yourself to be an evangelical or born-again Christian, or not? Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican presidential primary?

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