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Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Debates deliver favorability edge to Romney; now above 50% in rating

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/oct/23/debates-deliver-favorability-edge-romney/


Debates deliver favorability edge to Romney; now above 50% in rating

  • Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney answers a question and President Barack Obama listens during the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall) Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney answers a question and President Barack Obama listens during the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama walks past each other on stage at the end of the last debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama walks past each other on stage at the end of the last debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)
  • Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney gives a thumbs up towards the crowd after the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Pool, Win McNamee) Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney gives a thumbs up towards the crowd after the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Pool, Win McNamee)
  • Ann Romney, wife of Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, laughs as she pulls her husband away from the edge of the stage after the third presidential debate with President Barack Obama at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)Ann Romney, wife of Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, laughs as she pulls her husband away from the edge of the stage after the third presidential debate with President Barack Obamaat Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)
  • President Barack Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney meet family members after  the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Pool-Michael Reynolds)President Barack Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney meet family members after the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Pool-Michael Reynolds)
  • President Barack Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney greet moderator Bob Schieffer at the start of the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Pool-Michael Reynolds)President Barack Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney greet moderator Bob Schieffer at the start of the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Pool-Michael Reynolds)
  • Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, right, and President Barack Obama shake hands with audience members following the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Eric Gay) Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, right, and President Barack Obama shake hands with audience members following the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
  • Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney and his wife Ann react towards the audience after the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall) Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney and his wife Ann react towards the audience after the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Moderator Bob Schieffer, center, watches as Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, left and President Barack Obama  wave to members of the audience during the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)Moderator Bob Schieffer, center, watches as Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, left and PresidentBarack Obama wave to members of the audience during the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
  • President Barack Obama and moderator Bob Schieffer, right, listen to Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, left, during the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/David Goldman)President Barack Obama and moderator Bob Schieffer, right, listen to Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, left, during the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/David Goldman)
  • President Barack Obama speaks during the third presidential debate with Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney. (AP Photo/David Goldman)President Barack Obama speaks during the third presidential debate with Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney. (AP Photo/David Goldman)
  • Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney answers a question during the third presidential debate with President Barack Obama at Lynn University. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney answers a question during the third presidential debate with President Barack Obama at Lynn University. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
  • President Barack Obama listens as Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney speaks during the third presidential debate at Lynn University. (AP Photo/Pool-Rick Wilking)President Barack Obama listens as Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney speaks during the third presidential debate at Lynn University. (AP Photo/Pool-Rick Wilking)
  • President Barack Obama answers a question as Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney listens during the third presidential debate. (AP Photo/Pool, Win McNamee)President Barack Obama answers a question as Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney listens during the third presidential debate. (AP Photo/Pool, Win McNamee)
  • President Barack Obama answers a question during the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)President Barack Obama answers a question during the third presidential debate at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney answers a question during the third presidential debate at Lynn University. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney answers a question during the third presidential debate at Lynn University. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama answer a question during the third presidential debate at Lynn University. (AP Photo/Pool-Win McNamee)Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama answer a question during the third presidential debate at Lynn University. (AP Photo/Pool-Win McNamee)
  • Moderator Bob Schieffer, center, watches as Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama take their seats before the start of the last debate. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)Moderator Bob Schieffer, center, watches as Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama take their seats before the start of the last debate. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)
  • Moderator Bob Schieffer, right, watches as President Barack Obama, center, shakes hands with Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney during the third presidential debate at Lynn University. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)Moderator Bob Schieffer, right, watches as President Barack Obama, center, shakes hands with Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney during the third presidential debate at Lynn University. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
  • Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, second from left, and his wife Ann, left, sits in a holding room with his family before he participates in the third presidential debate with President Barack Obama.  (AP Photo/ Evan Vucci)Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, second from left, and his wife Ann, left, sits in a holding room with his family before he participates in the third presidential debate with President Barack Obama. (AP Photo/ Evan Vucci)
  • The sun sets ahead of the presidential debate between Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama, at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/David Goldman)The sun sets ahead of the presidential debate between Republican presidential candidate, former MassachusettsGov. Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama, at Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/David Goldman)
  • Workers pose for a photo with a life-sized cutout of President Barack Obama at a presidential debate fair on the campus of Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla., where President Barack Obama and Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will hold their final debate. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)Workers pose for a photo with a life-sized cutout of President Barack Obama at a presidential debate fair on the campus of Lynn University, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Fla., where President Barack Obama and Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will hold their final debate. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
  • Doris Smith, of Boynton Beach, Fla., wears buttons on her shirt before the presidential debate. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)Doris Smith, of Boynton Beach, Fla., wears buttons on her shirt before the presidential debate. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Cutouts of President Barack Obama and Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, sit behind an AARP display before the candidates' final debate. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)Cutouts of President Barack Obama and Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, sit behind an AARP display before the candidates' final debate. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Lynn University student Matt Alleva uses patriotic tubes to float on the water during a pre-debate pool party on campus, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Florida. President Barack Obama and Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will hold their final debate at Lynn University Monday. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)Lynn University student Matt Alleva uses patriotic tubes to float on the water during a pre-debate pool party on campus, Monday, Oct. 22, 2012, in Boca Raton, Florida. President Barack Obama and Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will hold their final debate at Lynn University Monday. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
BOCA RATON, Fla. — Mitt Romney crossed a major threshold early this week, moving above 50 percent in his favorability rating with voters, according to the Real Clear Politics average of polls — and for the first time in the campaign he now leads President Obama on that measure.
The Republican presidential nominee has clearly benefited from the debates. He had a 44.5 percent favorability rating at the end of September, before the debates. But by Monday, when he and Mr. Obama faced off for the final debate of the campaign, Mr. Romney’s favorability average was up to 50.5 percent.
Tom Jensen, director of Public Policy Polling, a Democratic firm, said Mr. Romney’s favorability surge “really has been remarkable.”
“It was inevitable that Republicans were going to warm up to him once he became their nominee, but ever since his big victory in the first debate, his numbers with independents have improved a good deal as well,” he said. “We’re actually finding in our national tracking now that Romney’s favorability numbers are better than Obama‘s, which no one could have imagined six months ago.”
Mike McKenna, a Republican pollster, said Mr. Romney used the three 90-minute debates this month, with the largest national audiences he’s ever had, to humanize himself for voters who’d only seen snapshots in campaign commercials. news accounts and negative ads from theObama campaign.
Mr. McKenna said the Republican candidate’s performances punctured the Obama campaign’s effort to disqualify Mr. Romney in voters’ minds, through a bruising barrage of attack ads aimed at Hispanics, young adults and, chiefly, women voters.
“Six months of work and $400 million of ad buys went up in smoke in about 10 days,” Mr. McKenna said. “With less than 340 hours to go, they are having real trouble with their footing.”
With the presidential debates now behind him, Mr. Romney enters the final two-week stretch of the campaign having turned the election once again into a referendum on President Obama. His measured performance in Monday’s debate capped that off.
While pundits complained that he didn’t leave much daylight between himself and Mr. Obama on many issues, depriving them of the chance to compare and contrast policies, Republicans said Mr. Romneyaccomplished something deeper — he made himself a palatable alternative to Mr. Obama.
At one point he even swatted away an Obama attack by accusing the president of offering little else.
“Attacking me is not an agenda,” the Republican said.
At the end of Monday’s affair, Mr. Obama summed up the month’s debates by saying they framed the choice between the two candidates.
“You know, over the last four years, we’ve made real progress digging our way out of policies that gave us two prolonged wars, record deficits and the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression,” he said. “And Governor Romney wants to take us back to those policies: a foreign policy that’s wrong and reckless; economic policies that won’t create jobs, won’t reduce our deficit, but will make sure that folks at the very top don’t have to play by the same rules that you do.”
In Monday’s foreign policy debate Mr. Romney hewed closely to the president’s approach when it came to action in Syria, Iran andAfghanistan. Indeed, at one point the president told Mr. Romney the only difference in their positions was “you’d say them louder.”
Instant polls showed Mr. Obama won the debate on points, and commentators on both sides of the aisle skewered Mr. Romney for failing to give a sense of what he’d do differently on world hotspots.
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